Consilium Risk Advisory Group

Horizon Scanning & Scenario Testing

What is horizon scanning & scenario testing - and why it matters?

Horizon scanning and scenario testing help organisations anticipate future risks and assess potential impacts. They support forward-looking decision-making and improve resilience.

Without this, organisations remain reactive, responding to events rather than preparing for them.

Common challenges

Organisations often focus on current risks, with limited visibility of emerging threats. Scenario testing is either not performed or lacks structure and relevance.

This leads to missed risks and limited preparedness.

What good looks like

Emerging risks are identified early through structured horizon scanning. Scenario testing is used to explore potential impacts and inform decision-making.

This enables organisations to respond proactively and build resilience.

Our approach

  • Conduct gap analysis to assess current maturity against industry standards
  • Identify and assess emerging risks through horizon scanning
  • Design and facilitate scenario testing exercises
  • Align scenarios to strategic risks and priorities
  • Support decision-making through insight and analysis
  • Embed forward-looking risk practices

Ready to discuss Horizon Scanning & Scenario Testing?

Contact us for a no-obligation consultation with one of our senior advisors.